BOT 5.48% 34.5¢ botanix pharmaceuticals ltd

... @peppers1I don't think everything needs to go right here. If...

  1. 4,150 Posts.
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    ... @peppers1

    I don't think everything needs to go right here. If everything goes right we are way over $3.50.

    Kaken was selling to 16% of their market in year 1.
    If everything goes right, and BOT sells to 15% of it's market in year 1.
    570,000 patients ( 4 scripts each )
    2.28 Million scripts at 750 USD each
    1.7B USD gross sales
    Approx $500M USD profit ( 750M AUD )
    PE 15 $ 11B AUD MC.... about $8 per share.

    If everything was going right though, the PE would be higher than 15, more like 30
    $16 per share.



    We need to gauge success on something, why not what Kaken achieved in year 1?

 
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