bowen is certain labor to win under rudd, page-11

Ya gotta luv groundless optimism.

I just scanned the seats individually on Sportsbet. They have labor as punters' favourite in 60 seats, coalition in 89 and one ind. EOE

The weight of money in the seats will tend to be from those with local knowledge so I reckon this is a better indicator than polls' 2PP. And I don't think greens prefs will be tight. Many of them will not allocate prefs. Such a vote would still be formal in Qld but I doubt they would be federally. Either way, lab won't get the number they are budgeting on.