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Scott Morrison will return home to a fight on two fronts – and...

  1. WayneWairau
    145 Posts.
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    27/09/21
    08:26
    Post #: 56363429
    Scott Morrison will return home to a fight on two fronts – and one could prove ruinous (msn.com)


    Photograph: Olivier Douliery/AFP/Getty Images© Provided by The Guardian Photograph: Olivier Douliery/AFP/Getty Images

    When Scott Morrison arrives home from his week in Washington, the prime minister needs to deal with two pressing problems – and getting some material in front of the Nationals about net zero.

    When it comes to the reshuffle, colleagues think the prime minister will keep changes surgical. People speculate the he will replace the departing Porter with another Western Australian – Ben Morton. Morrison is close enough to Morton to call him “the apprentice”.

    Morton is currently a parliamentary secretary so it’s unlikely he would be elevated straight to cabinet. But there’s a potential fix if the prime minister wants it. Morrison could hand Angus Taylor responsibility for industry, while creating a science and technology portfolio for Morton in the outer ministry.

    Related:

    Invoking Taylor brings us back to net zero. Taylor is in cabinet, and is the minister for energy and emissions reduction. Right at the moment, Taylor is pulling together a new technology roadmap with input from across the government.

    Think of this exercise as being like a proof of concept – this work is supposed to demonstrate that various technologies can produce emissions reduction consistent with Australia achieving a net zero commitment by 2050.

    The primary target audience for all this work (apart from the voters, of course) is the National party. Morrison has been signalling for months he wants to land a net zero commitment in the run-up to the Cop26 in Glasgow. But the prime minister’s problem is not everyone in the National’s party room is prepared to sign up.

    Opposition to climate action brings us to Barnaby Joyce. Joyce in the middle of this year, in part by projecting opposition to Morrison signing up to net zero.

    Some of Joyce’s key backers, including Matt Canavan and George Christensen, are opposed to net zero. Keith Pitt, the resources minister, isn’t a Joyce backer, but he’s .

    Now let’s be honest. The bulk of what Joyce says on a daily basis is absolutely incomprehensible.

    But one thing is very clear. When Joyce ran Michael McCormack out of the leadership, he signalled the Nationals were a hard no on net zero.

    But Joyce has softened that messaging more recently. That’s because several colleagues told their resurrected leader in forceful terms he would not be making a captain’s call on this issue. The party room would decide.

    In addition to the climate jostling, there is also significant internal tension about Joyce failing to rebuke his favourites when they say stupid or ugly things. MPs brawled on their encrypted group chat about Christensen supporting violent protests in Melbourne. Things got so heated that the Victorian National Darren Chester (who supports net zero) quit the group chat, and then on Sunday, announced he was .

    So, given his internals are a tinderbox, Joyce has stopped saying no to net zero.

    BPH Price at posting: 6.2¢ Sentiment: Hold Disclosure: Held
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