My simple investment thesis on APX:
1. Moat - Not an expert on this, but the way I see it is like this - In the heyday of A2M and APT, did similar businesses pop up and get listed on the ASX to grab a share of the booming market? Yes, WHA, BUB and a few other smaller ones came to mind for baby formula and heaps of BNPL got listed following APT and Z1P's success. But as far as I understand, this wasn't the case for APX as it would be hard to replicate what they do.
2. Low debt high cash position - this allows APX to invest in growth and be flexible to adapt with changes in the market. And less of a chance to go belly up
3. Are they in an area with tremendous growth opportunity? Yes, AI.
4. Is the valuation too demanding for a good risk/reward? I think $11 to $13 provide a good entry point without taking on too much downside risk, considering the P/E.
5. Are they still growing earnings and revenue? Yes
6 Pay dividends? - Yes, albeit not that much but still better than a lot of savings accounts these days.
Conclusion - IMO worth a punt and hoping for a turnaround story considering they have recently announced a restructuring of their offerings and have confirmed guidance. The bad news have already been priced in during the down turn.
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5 | 30500 | 0.465 |
13 | 103472 | 0.460 |
6 | 140497 | 0.455 |
15 | 181344 | 0.450 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
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0.485 | 394733 | 14 |
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