Brent is a coiled spring

Brent is a “coiled spring” and may surge to $75 a barrel over summer on improving fundamentals, rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and financial positioning, according to Citigroup.
Oil Surges After Iran Downs U.S. Drone and Fed Signals Rate Cut
U.S. crude inventories fell 3.1 million barrels last week: EIAOil in New York climbs as much as 3.3% to $55.53 a barrelUnmuteCurrent Time0:56/Duration Time4:00 CaptionsIran Says it Shot Down U.S. DroneIran Says it Shot Down U.S. Drone Oil rose after Iran said it shot down a U.S. spy drone in its airspace, stoking Middle East tensions further after the attack on two tankers last week, while a more dovish stance from the Federal Reserve lifted financial markets.Futures climbed as much as 3.3% in New York. The reported drone drowning follows a missile strike by Yemeni rebels overnight on Saudi Arabia. The Fed’s readiness to lower interest rates for the first time since 2008 boosted stock markets and weakened the dollar, spurring demand for commodities priced in the U.S. currency. Oil also gained after U.S. government data showed inventories declined by 3.1 million barrels last week, more than analysts had estimated.Crude spiked as much as 4.5% a week ago after two oil tankers were attacked near the Strait of Hormuz, with the U.S. and Saudi Arabia blaming Iran for the assault. Still, swelling American inventories and a deepening U.S.-China trade war have dented the demand outlook and weighed on prices over the past two months. Washington and Beijing are set to resume talks next week at the G-20 summit in Osaka.“Geopolitics is helping oil bulls to make a spectacular come-back after a few days’ of directionless trading,” said Tamas Varga, an analyst at PVM Oil Associates Ltd. in London.West Texas Intermediate for July delivery, which expires Thursday, surged as much as $1.77 to $55.53 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange and traded at $55.28 as of 10:33 a.m. London time. The more-active August contract traded 3.2% higher at $55.68.Brent for August settlement rose $1.63 to $63.45 a barrel on London’s ICE Futures Europe Exchange. Prices closed 0.5% lower at $61.82 on Tuesday. The global benchmark crude traded at a $7.73 premium to WTI for the same month.See also: Fed Scraps Patient Approach and Opens Door to Potential Rate CutIran said it shot down an American drone that was spying and stated it would “defend Iran’s airspace and maritime boundaries with all our might.”U.S. crude inventories fell for the first time in three weeks through June 14, according to the Energy Information Administration. Stockpiles slid more than double the median analyst estimate for a 1.25-million-barrel decline. American oil production dropped for a second week to 12.2 million barrels a day.More oil-market news:OPEC is poised to extend oil-output cuts for the rest of the year when its members meet next month to assess global supply and demand. Saudi Arabia, Iraq and the United Arab Emirates all want to keep restraining production in a bid to buttress crude amid signs of faltering demand.Iraq