Also, the 3.4m FY21 is 816k already in the bag for H1 FY21 ie from the point they owned it outright from 7/11/20, implying (by doubling implied H2) 5.168m bbls pa (or avg 14.158k bopd)
so if you want to do a strictly current valuation as a starting point, I would start from there 5.168m bbls pa @US$70/b and current COP US$27/b (before any field improvements that bring it down).
I’ll leave the p/e guess to Mr Posh and others
btw P13 of the 1/2YR just grabbed my attention while I was checking the numbers you were looking at:
so that’s crystal clear, any debt package is for a rainy day only
- Interventions can be funded from Baúna cash flow
- Patola funding discussions progressing as planned, expected finalisation in Q2 CY2021 prior to FID
- Debt package will help manage downside oil price risk and provide balance sheet flexibility
- Potential to farm down Santos Basin acreage
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