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c/b shale

  1. 8,558 Posts.
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    i think this has been raised here previously.
    But it is worth thinking about again.

    I know it is just speculation.

    But here is ICN:
    - good (in fact extremely good), highly prospective shale acreage in ATP855
    - equal highest j/v partner at 40% in ATP855
    - 33% interest in upper portions of neighbouring PEL218
    - contiguous permits of 218 and 855.
    - access thru J/V in ATP855 to tech data.
    - proven flows in PEL218
    - statements by Beach that both permits are "basin centred" gas/oil plays of both conv and unconventional
    - ICN having an unfulfilled GSA
    - ICN having no money to develop ATP855
    - ICN free-carried for drilling one well.

    So then I look at DLS preso, and again contemplate permits.
    Here is BG/QGC farming into DLS permits ATP940.
    It will spend up to $130m to prove up shale in DLS permits.
    So it wants the gas
    It has experience
    It has the money
    It will have the LNG plant
    It will construct Train 3
    it wants more customers (eg ICN GSA)

    So WHY wouldn't BG/QGC look at some arrangement to co-develop all three permits?
    Beach has already acknowledged that it would want to develop PEL218 and ATP855 jointly - so why not add DLS block?

    Everybody would win.

    Unfortunately we only have 40% - but we could go down to 15% with a big cash injection from BG farmin - and get free carried for a hell of a lot longer.
    Also, in these types of deals, the likes of BG could take equity in ICN to secure their interests, and the GSA.

 
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