FDL has reported about 100 diamond targets on its SA properties (three major kimberlite swarms). Odds of finding diamonds in one hundred targets is that diamonds should be present in around 30 to 40 of those targets. Out of that group between 1 to 3 may be economic. This is a speculative assumption. IMHO FDL is heading much higher.
FDL
flinders diamonds limited
calculating odds of a major run
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