Hi all, I find it a curiosity that people think that shale will disappear in a puff of smoke. I think OPEC thought that also, not going quite to plan me thinks. Almost all countries and companies need oil, I would say at a very slender minimum $70, just survive. Shale can and will survive at $70 thanks to the Saudi's they have created a rod for their own back by pushing shale to get better at everything they do. There are several OPEC nations that need oil nearer $100 to balance their budgets.
Shale will contract definitely, will it contract enough to shift the price, maybe, I think its far more likely that the Saudi's staring the collapse of OPEC in the face may just shift the goal posts slightly at some point.
DB
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