CLB 0.00% $1.10 candy club holdings limited

Really good work TEP, this is essentially the CLB investment...

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    Really good work TEP, this is essentially the CLB investment thesis. There is a clear pathway to 4-5x your investment.
    Its just a matter of time... We get more and more visibility on the earnings trajectory as the months go on.

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/2817/2817467-c3a2b66c6d7d8bf9a1b44cae87a97fbd.jpg

    Remember if it doesn't get bought out it still would be screening cheap on an EBITDA multiple

    At $50m USD, which is my FY22 estimate I have them doing $USD11m EBITDA, which at 20x EBITDA (pretty conservative for a company with a top line growing at 50-100%) the fully diluted share price would be 60c

    Hold another year... The multiple doesn't even have to change for you to make a huge gain from there... just grow top line at 30% in FY23, you get $22m USD EBITDA due to the operating leverage... this gets you a price of around $1.20
    .
    We also get an extra 6-10m when peopl convert the options. Might not happen here but would expect this to happen as the price goes up.


 
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