VPG 0.00% $1.79 vodafone group plc.

careful, page-34

  1. 286 Posts.
    Roadster,

    Below is my worst case scenario nta calculation, assuming no goodwill, and 70% discount to properties it owns (considering Australian properties account for c50%, it is considered harsh)

    This is basically a liquidation scenario. (and realising value of properties only, no goodwill attached to its fund management business-which is amongst top 30 globally. )

    This could perhaps give you some comfort.
    ----------------

    per June 30 08

    AUD1.43bln of rental properties
    AUD1.3bln of indirect property investments
    121.1mln of cash
    intangibles of AUD558.9mln (ignore this)

    Total liabs: AUD1.67bln (of which Bank debt: AUD1.346bln)

    total shares on issue: 1608mln

    (1.43bln +1.3bln)*70%+121.1mln-1.67bln
    -----------------------------------------------------------
    1608mln

    A 70% discount rate is assumed to the book value of properties, and no goodwill value is assumed, on this basis, NTA will be 22.5cents/share

    =22.5c/share


    I wouldn't expect Australian properties value to depreciate by that much. Even the recent VCS forced sale received 78% of book value.

    If we are paying significantly below that, why should we worry?
 
arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch. arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch.