LK, Estimates put the cost to bring C to market in excess of $2B. The cost to purchase could be up to $600m.
Is SFR better than C? I will list what I think are the pros and cons
C has a bigger resource 4mt vs 500,000t SFR has 2 other strategic players - if they do not want to sell OZL cannot get SFR. C has multiple commodities, SFR does not have the variety. C can be purchased w/o a public t/o premium, SFR cannot. C is a company transforming purchase for OZL. SFR is nice, but not in the same league. C is in the same state as P Hill, OZL could have some synergies with C And P Hill. SFR does not provide that. Based on P Hill cash flows - OZL could develop C w/o a loan - just. SFR would be a shoe in. SFR is likely to keep the sp sub $1.50, C is likely to drive the sp to approx $2.50 (my view - no data)
There could be others
I think SFR is an alternate for OZL if they cannot get C. i.e a fallback position
HT1
OZL Price at posting:
$13.85 Sentiment: LT Buy Disclosure: Held