IMO if news bad (meaning no real improvement in production output) will be 25 cents tomorrow (35% probability), if production has gone backwards then 20 cents could trade (15% probability). If they have improved their run rate to 30-50% of nameplate then I think we see 33 cents (25% probability). If production run rate is anywhere above 50% then likely we move above 35 cents (15% probability). If on the off chance they confirm they will be at full run rate production during December then I think we could actually see 40 cents (10% probability).
Weighted average return = 25 * 0.35 + 20 * 0.15 + 33 * 0.25 + 35 * 0.15 + 40 * 0.10 = 29.25 cents (basically a little lower than we are trading today)
IMO if news bad (meaning no real improvement in production...
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Last
$7.23 |
Change
-0.110(1.50%) |
Mkt cap ! $6.786B | |||
| Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
| $7.34 | $7.34 | $7.21 | $11.33M | 1.560M |
Buyers (Bids)
| No. | Vol. | Price($) |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | 6995 | $7.23 |
Sellers (Offers)
| Price($) | Vol. | No. |
|---|---|---|
| $7.24 | 9095 | 19 |
View Market Depth
| Last trade - 13.39pm 15/11/2024 (20 minute delay) ? |
| LYC (ASX) Chart |