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Responding to shakespeare's claim that the staff at the...

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    Responding to shakespeare's claim that the staff at the hospitals would know the results already:

    Trial numbers are small and there are a lot of hospitals involved. SI only recently stated that numbers have surpassed 60%.
    That's 180 people, 90 on each arm (or near enough).
    Assuming the bulk are in 10 hospitals (there are more hospitals than 10 but I'm trying to improve the odds for your claim),
    say 70 on each arm across those hospitals, that would be 14 people treated across 5 months in each of these hospitals.

    Assuming a 50% death rate for the SoC placebo arm, that would be 3.5 deaths (yes I know).
    Assuming an 80% survival rate for Rem-L, that would leave 1.4 deaths, or a difference of 2 people.
    Overall they would have seen 5 people die instead of the 7 predicted by the 50% death rate, or an overall 35% rate, which could just as easily be put down to luck or a minor overestimation of the severity of symptoms when the patients were placed on ventilators.

    I sincerely doubt that the hospital would notice such a small difference when it is likely that dozens to hundreds have died over that period in those hospitals and any attempt to track trial patient results specifically would yield the tiny numbers above which would not show any statistical significance even at 60% let alone any earlier.
    Last edited by Cooper111: 27/11/20
 
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