RHK 5.13% 74.0¢ red hawk mining limited

Certainty

  1. 8,574 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 2840
    There are some things that are absolutely certain imho.

    * this latest re-wording of the first proposal, will be rejected by minorities.
    * FMS has put a value on PIOP. We have been told that the Chinese funding party will pay A$750m at FID for a 50% interest in PIOP MineCo.
    So at the very least FMS' 40% interest at FID will be worth $600m.
    A$600m with 3,485m shares on issue = 17c per share !!!
    Thats at FID.

    * BBIG has already stated that they have completed their BFS back in June 2018
    * BBIG simply cannot declare FID on the project until their have secured supply of ore
    * BBIG has NO OTHER supply of iron ore to draw upon to feed a 45mtpa project.
    * BBIG has committed probably $150m - $200m so far.
    * BBIG has also committed very real non-financial capital also - work and face with Govt, Chinese parties, communities, Todd shareholders etc
    * BBIG are physically going flat out building the port etc, as we have seen all the tenders put out and accepted.
    * time runs out for BBIB by Sept 2020. We have read that WA Govt will not extend the deadline
    * BBIG already has all its pieces in place for FID. It already has enviro approvals, Govt approvals, funding, Offtakes, engineering, construction agreements, personnel etc etc ---> so they are ready to go.
    * BBIG will make a fortune once this project commences production
    * ALL IT NEEDS IS SUPPLY !!!

    So IMHO, Todd/BBIG , at some point in the near future will simply HAVE to come back with an offer that OCJ and minorities would accept.
 
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