The World Meteorolgical Association has just revised the chance of any year by 2024 being above the 1.5c above pre industrial average at 20%
Previously it was 10% Every year it seems more likely
1.5 rise above preindustrial level was the cap agreed at the Paris accord
https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-53342806
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- Chances of 1.5c by 2024 just doubled