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change in fortunes!, page-10

  1. 20,449 Posts.
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    anal... yst

    and people ay for this research

    Pellets were 128 last week so I would assume about 123 now

    that gives us a AUD price of around 133 and a margin on prod of 2.3, t = 76 m aud

    deduct 15-20m per annum for corporate and cash flow still 56m odd.

    key here that the IO price does not fall further. I have temporarily exited 200k units of my position at 21( break even ) just so I can see where IO price settles. I was reading the quarterly last night and realised cash was going to be 20m less than I expected due to them closing that royalty deal.

    still think its a buy but it may dip below 20 again imo
 
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