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28/09/24
22:06
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Originally posted by LambDownUnder:
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So apologies for jumping into the potentially wrong thread. I've been a watcher for a while, but the metrics never really stacked up for me. With current share price I feel it has been a bit unfairly smashed for reasons unbeknownst to myself and wondering if any longer holders may be able to enlighten me? Putting the price of the commodity aside (I like the medium-long term outlook or I wouldn't be here) and with Waitsia due to come online later this FY I dont understand what has driven the price down from nearly $2 to almost $1 over the last 6 months. Seem to be producing fairly well, plenty of reserves to continue, moderate debt levels, very good margin on each BBOE and targeting towards $30US this FY, good dividend policy. Is it just standard fear of hydrocarbons vis a vis climate change? I also couldnt see any mention of heding, does the company have anything in place?
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LambDU, Morningstar and other spreadsheet jockeys give a fair value price of double the current share price, even taking the loss of reserves into account. I think it really is loss of confidence in BPT after so many bad news events. The sentiment will take a while to change, but the mid-tier aussie gas cohort seems to be out of fashion at the moment - look at STO! The long term gas prospects for Aus is assured, because gas power generation is the only answer to the green renewable energy shambles. Nuclear may take that place, but it will be a ling time . . . So, we hang on and are ever hopeful for a revaluation . . .