article from Barry Fitzgerald today - Ni is he choice for the next metal of 2023 after a very good year in 2022. Here is an extract.
Garimpeiro used the old-fashioned base metal description in the opening because nickel is of course a key battery metal.
Nickel is on its way to being the best performed base metal of 2022 and Garimpeiro reckons it could be in for a repeat performance next year.
But lithium wins hand down as the best performed battery metal of 2022. Does lithium have more upside in 2023? Not likely.
So there it is, Garimpeiro’s base or battery metal of choice for 2023 is nickel.
Nickel’s average for the year-to-date of more than $US25,800/t has been impressive compared with its 2021 average of $US18,500/t.
Ha, you say, nickel’s average this year is distorted by its charge off to more than $US100,000/t in March when a mighty short squeeze was played out. But get this, nickel is currently sitting at more $US31,000/t.
So it has seen off concerns about rising production from Indonesia, recession fears, and China’s COVID shutdowns.
Little wonder about that.
On BHP projections, nickel supply needs to increase four-fold over the next 30 years if energy transition targets are to be met. Copper needs to increase two-fold yet it is much easier to find than battery preferred nickel sulphide deposits.
More and more new nickel projects need to come forward. But that will only happen with super incentive pricing for the metal. Even the current elevated nickel price is probably not enough to get the supply response required for the energy transition.
Garimpeiro’s preference for small cap explorers with active exploration programs capable of creating 10-bagger type responses is on fully display in this week’s rundown on some nickel stocks to watch in coming months.
