Price did test that resistance from my previous anticipation. Unfortunately, the wick suggests it was just an attempt to take out the trader's bear stops most likely as a squeeze to make fresh short bets. If you flip into the 1H chart, you will see the volume spike at that key resistance level. Technically, the odds favor a test of the lower TL but nothing is set in stone.
Monthly chart to see where price extension could reach. It was asking a bit too much for the extension to keep going past the resistance. Perhaps the futures is taking a breather or a top has formed like the 2011 rally. The difference is that this time around it wasn't that explosive exponential rally like 2011. Instead, there were 3.5 years of sideway-ish price action before that quadruple top broke.
I would be watching the US equities indices as a gauge of where gold is heading, including Bitcoin. Not sure if the risk-off is temporary but another key player is oil futures, a very rough measure of the inflationary impact on economies. With the uncertainties in the ME especially, anything is possible.
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Last
$1.17 |
Change
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Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
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Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
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9 | 106354 | $1.17 |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
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5 | 22480 | 1.160 |
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18 | 206402 | 1.150 |
8 | 94410 | 1.145 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
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1.170 | 102000 | 2 |
1.175 | 11936 | 1 |
1.180 | 36936 | 2 |
1.185 | 54398 | 5 |
1.190 | 118386 | 4 |
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