Now that you mentioned XJO in the generic sense, who would have thought our main index can in one swing hit the 61.8% off the top so fast and aggressive! When looking at a weekly chart, little Johnny asked me to look left from 2009 low to that so-called collapsing March2020 crash was the trend up, down or sideways? At the time when I could not have known the march low, I was expecting/anticipating a W instead of V recovery hence I did not participate in such an aggressive recovery! So much for listening/researching through insiders in US with big following. What makes sense does not necessarily reflect reality. On the flip side I was not highly exposed pre-Covid because everything was so 'expensive' using the PeR methodology. All those years having learned the GFC lesson and had to drop on knees praying as March2009 low kicked in, I was prepared better this time but it is so difficult to be a contrarian under such an aggressive crash!
What I did notice is that those companies that literally suffered only a flesh wound in paper loss post-crash are what I am more interested in than picking the fallen angels. Buying strong trends are usually counter-intuitive, its the nature of our shopping habits, who doesn't like good bargains.
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