Forgive my ignorance here as I'm still very new to this game. So, the analysts who determine consensus are working for companies that are holding a lot of these shorts. Got it. You're also suggesting they would alter the figure higher than the result as soon as results are known. Are you suggesting they would do this after already publishing their predictions? That would seem to be absurdly blatant.
Moreover, there seems to be a very basic conflict of interest here. If these analysts are massaging their predictions to align with the interests of their company, then why on earth does the market pay any heed to them? Are there any analysts contributing to consensus that are unbiased or without an agenda? To my mind, a prediction of performance by the company ought to be based on objective analysis... I find it disturbing I need to suggest that ...
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