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SilverTrade

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608

11/06/21

09:56

Post #: 53785974
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Originally posted by Seano180: ↑

Hey mate - This is going to be a very difficult exercise haha

For simplicity, I would use the references from ZIP's recent annual report (page 12) specifically, as well as the CAGR predictions from IBISWorld - see my references below.

" The total addressable retail market as it stands now is 22 trillion dollars with a current BNPL penetration of 1.6%. Ibisworld prdicts that the BNPL industry will continue to grow at 9.8% annual over the next 5 years."

If in 5 years from now, BNPL penetration will be 10% (for example), we can assume that ZIP's revenue will decrease by 10/1.6 = 6.25 times of what it is now - this figure will assume that all other BNPL businesses are also capturing equal market share.

ZIPs reported revnue of 1billion now because 6.25billion.

Let me know what you think.

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we'll have to take atleast 3 scenarios

worst case
mid way
best case

IMO and see where we land

Z1P Price at posting: $6.87 Sentiment: Buy Disclosure: Held
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0 Great analysis

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(20min delay)
Last $1.31		Change 0.000(0.00%)		Mkt cap ! $1.480B

Open	High	Low	Value	Volume
$1.33	$1.33	$1.31	$1.390M	1.056M

Buyers (Bids)

No.	Vol.	Price($)
37	128170	$1.31

Sellers (Offers)

Price($)	Vol.	No.
$1.32	51127	34

View Market Depth

No.	Vol.	Price($)
37	182766	1.310
14	234232	1.305
23	353809	1.300
13	501687	1.295
10	182378	1.290

Price($)	Vol.	No.
1.315	25288	28
1.320	72218	23
1.325	164003	17
1.330	176625	14
1.335	40860	7

Last trade - 11.13am 14/05/2024 (20 minute delay)


Last $1.31			Change 0.000 ( 0.43 %)
Open	High		Low	Volume
$1.33	$1.33		$1.31	434850
Last updated 11.34am 14/05/2024 ?

ZIP (ASX) Chart

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