NCM 0.00% $23.35 newcrest mining limited

Thanks @thomas1.That long term chart is a beautiful sight for...

  1. 1,751 Posts.
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    Thanks @thomas1.

    That long term chart is a beautiful sight for long term believers in gold. However, close scrutiny of the chart paints a more nuanced picture.

    For those inclined to relive the detail of both the physical and equity POG reality. The chart incorporates both a 100% return from 2008/09 - 2011/12 and a 50%+ loss from 2012/13 to 2016/17. Great for investors experienced in cycles and prepared to be active both on the buy and sell side of the trade over time. It is not a simple buy and hold asset in my experience.

    Gold like all commodities is cyclical and needs to be respected.

    In my view we are roughly 1/3 of the way through the current bull cycle with 3 to 5 years left to run.

    That is long enough to make real money and also long enough to get complacent and greedy and dream of higher prices forever. There will be a time to sell but that is a long way off yet.

    Holders should enjoy some good years ahead amidst global financial mayhem. Over 1000s of years, gold has earned and proven its reputation as a "store of value".

    NCM, if it continues to be independantly listed, will reward us all.

    GLTASH

 
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