Chat GPT Q&A, page-437

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    Terminated Licensing Agreements and Major Deal Timelines

    CompanyLicensorTermination DateDays to Major EventMajor EventDeal ValueSource Reference
    1Forty Seven Inc.Stanford University~Q1 2017 (renegotiated/cleaned IP)~180 daysGilead begins diligence → Acquisition (March 2020)$4.9BSEC S-1 2018; FierceBiotech CEO interview
    2Denali TherapeuticsUCSF~Q1 2018 (selective carve-out)~90 daysFiled BBB + LRRK2 IP → Takeda collaboration$1.05B upfront + milestonesDenali 10-K 2018; BioCentury Q3 2018
    3AlnylamUniversity of Massachusetts~2017–2018 (deprioritized UMass IP)~60 daysGalNAc platform patents issued, standalone → Sanofi/Regeneron deals$700M+ totalAlnylam 10-K 2018; USPTO records
    4Aveo OncologyKyowa Hakko KirinJuly 2018~45 daysRe-licensed tivozanib in Europe → LG Chem merger discussions$566M acquisitionAveo 10-Q 2018; EvaluatePharma
    5ImmunoGenTakeda/MillenniumJune 202228 daysADC license to Huadong Medicine$85M upfront + $300M milestonesImmunoGen press release June 2022
    6ZymeworksDaiichi SankyoMarch 2022~60 daysFiled new HER2 ADC IP, enabled Jazz deal$50M upfront (Jazz); $325M totalSEC 8-K 2022; BioWorld Daily
    7Blueprint MedicinesWellcome TrustApril 2015~30 daysFiled novel FGFR IP → Launched BLU-554$775M upfront (Roche later)SEC S-1 2015; company IP filings
    8Arcus BiosciencesTaiho PharmaJune 2020~90 daysStarted TIGIT/A2aR combo → Gilead deal$175M upfront + $2.8B potentialArcus 10-Q 2020; JPM slides
    9Sutro BiopharmaCelgeneOctober 2019~45 daysFiled CD74 ADC IP; positioned for new ADC deals$90–125M per program(later deals)Sutro 10-Q 2019; BioCentury
    10Iovance BiotherapeuticsNIHMarch 2017 (partial termination)~90 daysFiled proprietary TIL manufacturing IP → supported BLA>$1B market cap upliftIovance S-1; NIH tech office

    Analysis of Timing

    • Average time from termination to announcement: ~66 days

    • Range:28–180 days

    • Most common sweet spot:30–90 days

    • Deal values span$85Mto$4.9B, with median in$500M–$1Brange when tied to first-in-class mechanism or clean combo IP

    List in a table days from termination to major event and deal details.

    whilst it might not be a deal it could be a release of new data MOA perhaps!
 
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