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BaulklikeGresh

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06/05/18

14:54

Post #: 32914024
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Originally posted by Little T ↑

I thought i would do a back of the envelope valuation for Byron Energy based on facts we know and the usual p/e ratios used in the sharemarket for the oil and gas industry.
1.On current prices the EBITDA for the next 12 months will be $50 million aussie
2.The net profit after depreciation and interest will be $47 million aussie .
3.There will be a free carry on all the company's existing and future leases.We have been told that SM71 will flow for at least 8 years by otto energy in their recent presentation.
4.The company is currently capitalized on the asx at $264 million.
5.The number of shares issued is 685 million.
6.The normal p/e ratio for oil and gas companies is 20 times .
7.Being very conservative and using a p/e of 10 the value of the company should be $470 million /divided by no of shares issued 685 mill the share value should be 68 cents.
8.Using 15 times p/e ratio the company would be worth $705 million and the share value $1.03.
9.Using 20 times p/e ratio the company would be worth $940 million and the share value $1.37.
10.Accordingly on the above basis this stock is
extremely cheap at present.

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And what does it look like if the price of oil goes above $100?

BYE Price at posting: 38.5¢ Sentiment: Hold Disclosure: Held
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0 Great analysis

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Cheap,Cheap,Cheap !!!!, page-2

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