feeny,
I am in the camp that beleives that market price is very similar to actual value
Sentiment does play a part but probably not to the degree we think particularly when it comes to REITs
Investors particularly super funds etc do a lot of number crunching before they buy them
I would say that equity raising is on the cards if assets were to fall more than 10%
LLC has just devalued some of its property in the UK because I assume they can't sell them by 11.7%
read here
Note: Lend Lease’s 30% interest in the Bluewater shopping centre in the UK is held as Inventory at its original
cost of £250.0 million. Since completion in 1999, Lend Lease’s interest in Bluewater increased in value to
£647.4 million as at 30 June 2007 as included in the Portfolio Report within the Lend Lease Consolidated
Financial Report. The June 2008 valuation has decreased to £570.6 million but this does not impact Lend
Lease’s profit and loss account or balance sheet.
the UK however may have a lot more problems than Germany etc where GPT holds its assets in the JV
Also the Aussi retail, office and industrial which makes up 71% of the GPTs office portfolio may not fall much at all as demand is strong and rents are pretty good.
they may only fall a couple of percent if at all
Anyway the people at GPT don't forsee asset values coming down 10%
I actually thought property values would have to fall just 5% to break the bank covenant
the PR person said that it is not quite that simple and she offered to let me talk to the chief operating officer which I didn't do. Too much of headache trying make sense out what he is saying.
The up shot of all this is that she maintains that assets have to fall 10% to break the covenant and it won't happen.
I will take her word for it.
If they don't have to do a capital raising and property values fall only 10% you are sitting on absolute bargain
an investment worth in vicinty of $3.50
however I don't think things are going to play out like that
Your proably looking at something worth $1.81
but you never know your luck.
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Last
$5.08 |
Change
0.070(1.40%) |
Mkt cap ! $9.731B |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
$5.05 | $5.08 | $5.01 | $3.807M | 752.6K |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
33 | 38321 | $5.07 |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
$5.08 | 32168 | 43 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
33 | 38068 | 5.070 |
21 | 62559 | 5.060 |
14 | 86702 | 5.050 |
17 | 100979 | 5.040 |
16 | 36644 | 5.030 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
5.080 | 34026 | 41 |
5.090 | 52123 | 24 |
5.100 | 75025 | 16 |
5.110 | 91225 | 18 |
5.120 | 25601 | 9 |
Last trade - 12.12pm 10/07/2025 (20 minute delay) ? |
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GPT (ASX) Chart |