Interesting comment...........
Brian1
Distilling all the modelling and mathematics the bottom line is that the IPCC state (and it is generally agreed) that doubling the CO2 partial pressure will cause a radiative forcing of 3 W/m^2 or some 1% of Earths radiated heat. The strange logic of the IPCC is that this will be 1% of the Earth's average temperature above absolute zero of 288 degrees Kelvin, or 2 to 3 degrees centigrade. To me this is nonsensical as the effect of the atmosphere is to raise Earth's temperature from black body radiation level, (255 Kelvin without any atmosphere), to Earth's average, a rise of 33 degrees centigrade. 1% of 33 degrees is 0.33 Centigrade so doubling atmospheric CO2 would result in 0.3 degrees Celcius increase in average temperature above the varying baseline due to other influences as correctly enumerated by ET below. Explains the minimal warming compared to the large CO2 partial pressure increase. A rise of 0.33 Centigrade is not enough to mitigate the effects of a little ice let alone the onset of cyclical glaciation. Perhaps we should consider supplementing inefficient and unreliable renewables with more thermal coal.
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