New thread. Changed the title.
I seem to have too much time on my hands, and I keep thinking about the potential deals in Asia, specifically China. The company has openly stated they are in discussions. The questions I am asking myself;
x if they are in discussions, could we expect a deal before Phase 3 results?
x if so, and given they will have exclusive use of the future data generated from the Phase 3 trial (without the $100m trial costs), should the upfront amount be +$100m? The Chinese mark would be well over double the size which would counter the possibility that the revenue generated may not be as great as in the USA. Say a nil all draw there.
x if a significant upfront, then at today's prices Neuren would have an effective EV of nearly $0. Crazy.
Maybe I should stop thinking and just be patient. I think we are very, very close to something huge.
PS; my sentiment is buy but I won't be buying as I have a very full basket. Just for transparency.
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neuren pharmaceuticals limited
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China deal?
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$15.17 |
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Mkt cap ! $1.888B |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
$15.45 | $15.45 | $15.03 | $6.517M | 428.4K |
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No. | Vol. | Price($) |
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2 | 7052 | $15.12 |
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Price($) | Vol. | No. |
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$15.20 | 199 | 1 |
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2 | 7052 | 15.120 |
1 | 6737 | 15.110 |
5 | 3695 | 15.100 |
1 | 1079 | 15.080 |
1 | 660 | 15.070 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
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15.200 | 199 | 1 |
15.210 | 1501 | 2 |
15.220 | 2500 | 2 |
15.280 | 500 | 1 |
15.320 | 2000 | 1 |
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