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To clarify: There never-ever was a properly conducted trial...

  1. 281 Posts.
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    To clarify:
    There never-ever was a properly conducted trial before - this FDA trial is the first, and so far, the only one.
    There have been two clinical studies - in/around 2010 and each on a very small number (combined total 20~24) of selected patients:
    https://hotcopper.com.au/threads/ann-interview-with-professor-keith-harding.1276506/
    Note: Prof Harding subsequently pulled out and ceased to be involved
    https://hotcopper.com.au/threads/ann-excellent-clinical-results-and-manufacturing.1202013/
    .......
    I guess the above studies have been upscaled, reclassified and polished as phase 1 trials.
    And that's what is regurgitated over and over again for comparison with the current *REAL* trial, both by TIS/FTT and HC posters, as the ultimate solution to all venous ulcers and the like.
    But there is a caveat: Beware of the competition and the standard of care - seven years+ may have introduced some enhancements in the field of wound care.

    From the Mid-Trial Update July 2017
    https://hotcopper.com.au/threads/ann-clinical-trial-update.3536310/
    see Page 12/13 -
    Regarding patient enrolment: What happened at the Academic sites?
    Referred to as good recruiters: What are the numbers? What happened? Quid-pro-quo not good enough? Too many unsuitable patients?
    Regarding high number of patients eliminated (~65%) in pre-screening:
    Whilst that may be a positive for the trial outcome it does narrow the applicability from both a medical and commercial viewpoint.

    From Clinical Trial Update January 2018
    https://hotcopper.com.au/threads/ann-clinical-trial-update.3967703/
    Does not contain anything new in substance terms and is not exciting at all - Where Have All The Vibes Gone? (1*)
    Page 5: VitroCARD Margolis 1 ???? - that's probably referring to the clinical studies conducted in 2010 - renamed and christened as MARGOLIS 1

    (1*) Peter, Paul and Mary
    Where have all the flowers gone?
    Long time passing
    Where have all the flowers gone?
    Long time ago …

    My main concerns:
    Trial Spec's to narrow - may cause problems after completion of trial.
    Silent dilution - issue of shares in lieu of payment may help in the near/immediate term but also signals to everybody that the company is in financial trouble.

    A fund manager may look at the company in this way:
    FTT's market value is, using a generous measure, nothing more than the third or fourth .... digit to the right of the decimal point on the balance sheet. On a Profit/Loss statement it would probably make it to the second or third or ... digit to the right of the decimal point - nothing more than a rounding error. Becoming a ten-bagger would not change this picture - therefore: No need to get excited, win or loose would not have any significant impact.

    PS: I am still holding until the end - bitter or sweet - but unlike a fund manager treat this investment as a gamble - a win would get me a Maserati and a loss would not hurt me.
    Last edited by CroMagnon: 06/02/18
 
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