OLY 4.26% 4.5¢ olympio metals limited

CLI Forward Fundamentals

  1. 21,996 Posts.
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    This thread is intended to be a rational discussion of CLI's forward fundamentals and not a target of non-holders/shockjocks
    To reasonably contribute to this thread could we please supply factual and reasonable contextual data; there's plenty of threads to post
    shockjock/negatively speculative gibberish.

    So here goes:

    Mkt Cap:...............$28.69 mil
    SP............................7.4c
    # of shares............388 mil (undiluted)
    # of shares............503 mil (diluted...see apendix 3B 02 Aug)
    What has been announced:
    less than 30% of crop offtake for $10.5 mil USD ( $15.4 AUD)

    Based on that the complete crop should be worth $51 mil AUD approx.

    Based on previous published info, COP should be about $6 USD /lb

    Again based on announced info the total crop should be 800,000 lbs + CLI's share of flowers (about $3 mil AUD) (Total Revenue of $54 mil AUD)

    This would give a cost of $4.8 mil USD ( $7 mil odd AUD)

    If we add odds and bobs & repayment of loan & tax (if any) + admin costs we should get a max cost of say $14 mil AUD

    This would yield a NPAT of about $ 40 mil AUD or an EPS of 10c/share (undiluted) or 8c/share (diluted)

    If we take the lesser of the two and a very conservative P/E of say 5 we get a SP of 40c

    All IMO only)

    The laternative calculation is the previous guideline of $35-$45 USD/lb for a forecast harvest of 800K lbs which you can do your own sums on.

    Your thoughts on this would be really appreciated
    MM
 
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