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18:48
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Originally posted by tristanc
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This strikes me as a variant of the Texas Sharpshooter fallacy. Shoot blindly at a wall a bunch of times, then go down and draw targets around your bulletholes. What Watts is doing here is similar: make a whole bunch of predictions well away from mainstream, ignore all the ones that failed, then trumpet from the rooftops when we hit an outlier year that happens to match one. In actual fact, he has a long, (externally) documented history of being spectacularly wrong with the vast majority of his predictions.
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Hahahaahah. I knew that would draw screams from the peanut gallery. Couldn't wait to rush in and denounce the Hall of Fame Three year award winning Best Science Blog.
