Climate Models Have Overestimated CO2’s Impact On Global Temperatures By Factor Of 5

  1. 1,220 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 112



    Russian physicists (Smirnovand Zhilyaev, 2021) have recently had their peer-reviewed paper published in the Advances in Fundamental Physics Special Issue for the journal Foundations.


    After a detailed assessing of therole of CO2 molecules in the atmosphere, they assert: “we have acontradiction with the results of climatological models in the analysis of theEarth’s greenhouse effect.”



    Key points from the paper, include:

    1. Climate model calculations of CO2’s impact on globaltemperatures are in error by a factor of 5 as a result of “ignoring, inclimatological models, the fundamental Kirchhoff law” which says radiators are“simultaneously the absorbers.”

    2.Change in the concentration of an optically active atmospheric component (likeCO2) “would not lead to change in the outgoing radiative flux.”

    3.CO2 molecules “are not the main radiator of the atmosphere.” Water vapormolecules are, and thus they “may be responsible for the observed heating ofthe Earth.”



    As Richard also points out, the discrepancy between the greenhouse gas effectof water vapor molecules relative to CO2 has been addressed elsewhere: Lightfoot and Mamer (2014) and (2017) suggest that water molecules are a) 29 times more abundant in the atmosphere and 1.6 times more effective at warming than CO2 molecules are; b) water vapor accounts for 96 percent of the total radiative forcing for all greenhouse gases; and c) doubling CO2 concentrations to 550 ppm would only result in a global temperature increase of 0.33C.

    Proponents of anthropogenic globalwarming can blindly dismiss these findings all they want, but what they clearlyshow is that the science is far from settled. The term ‘consensus’ is one usedto rally the misinformed and browbeat weak politicians. In reality though, thescience is still very much out on global warming (and that’s me beinggenerous). But without an open and honest review of the literature, the masseswill remain in the dark, forever anxious of what the future will bring — and,tragically, this means the most indoctrinated among us will continue supergluing their faces to busy motorways:


    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/3833/3833199-e0f210a417d6ec49151ad4c564d5afff.jpg

    Insulate Britain protester winces in pain aftergluing his face to road.
    .
    IMO: He could have done it with water in the form of Ice
 
arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch. arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch.