Based on all the polls The New York Times Upshot model
has seen Hillary Clinton post the debate, jump to an 82% probability
of winning versus Donald Trump’s 18%.
Pre the debate Trump had worked up to a 30%+ chance but has now slipped
back significantly.
Before anyone comes back and claims bias from the NY Times,
the Upshot model is based on a collation of all polls across the electoral
colleges across each State.
"Who Will Be President?
By JOSH KATZ UPDATED 34 minutes ago
Hillary Clinton has an 82% chance of winning the presidency.
Last updated Thursday, October 6 at 10:10 PM ET
CHANCE OF WINNING
The Upshot’s elections model suggests that Hillary Clinton is favored to win the presidency, based on the latest state and national polls. A victory by Mr. Trump remains quite possible:”
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/upshot/presidential-polls-forecast.html
