CNB 13.1% 56.0¢ carnaby resources limited

CNB Summary and Why Its So Undervalued, page-3014

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    It's looking increasingly likely the US $900b stimulus package will pass.

    $900b represents an additional 6% of the current $1.5t USD in circulation.

    What does this mean for us?

    Excluding all current exploration lets take a quick look at our exposure to real gold based on announcement Aug 3 2020: Sale of Tick Hill Tailings (an assumption has been made we will mine the open pit) :


    Open Pit mine
    Tailings sale


    1

    OuncesAISCOuncesNSR royalty

    2

    12,500$1,19017,8005%

    3SpotEstimated spotTotalValue to shareholders*TotalValue to shareholders*Total valueTotal SH Value
    4Gold spot @ PFS$2,300.00$13,875,000.00$0.109



    5Gold spot today$2,471.00$16,012,500.00$0.126$2,199,190.00$0.017$18,211,690.00$0.143
    6Add 2%$2,520.42$16,630,250.00$0.131$2,243,173.80$0.018$18,873,423.80$0.149
    7Add 4%$2,569.84$17,248,000.00$0.136$2,287,157.60$0.018$19,535,157.60$0.154
    8Add 6%$2,619.26$17,865,750.00$0.141$2,331,141.40$0.018$20,196,891.40$0.159
    9Add 10%$2,718.10$19,101,250.00$0.150$2,419,109.00$0.019$21,520,359.00$0.169
    10Add 12%$2,767.52$19,719,000.00$0.155$2,463,092.80$0.019$22,182,092.80$0.175
    Disclaimer: I have not factored in the raising AISC along with raising gold price so real value will be less.
    * Fully diluted at 127m shares

    So as of today Tick Hill & tailings sale alone is worth 14.3c

    At October 29th we had $8.6m cash with $1.25 due any day.

    So MC of $35.3m - ($8.6+$1.25) = $25.5m
    $25.5m - value of Tick hill & tailings ($18.9m) = $6.6m
    $6.6m / 127m fully diluted shares = a 5c punt on our exploration per share today.

    If gold goes up 6% we're paying 4c per share for the exploration punt
    If gold goes up 12% we're paying 2.5c per share for the exploration punt

    Keep selling me those cheap shares, I like CNB much more than I like playing the lottery.

    Please note these are all back of an envelope calculations with numerous assumptions made. As always DYOR and GLTA.
 
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