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aatisket

6,709 Posts.

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15/10/19

16:56

Post #: 40892948
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Originally posted by redpencil ↑

Your lying aatisket. You left out the word exact and the rest of the statement.

The climate system is a coupled non-linear chaotic system, and therefore the long-term prediction of future exact climate states is not possible. Rather the focus must be upon the prediction of the probability distribution of the system s future possible states by the generation of ensembles of model solutions.

This is exactly what the models do, they predict a range and probability.

You appear to be a troll.

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In fact, it seems I am not the only "troll" as it appears a number of places have the same quote without the word "exact" in it, here's one http://nofrakkingconsensus.blogspot.com/2010/06/ipcc-says-climate-prediction-impossible.html.

I imagine that, over the years, in an attempt to double down on the panic, they added the word "exact". They didn't do a good enough job as page 774 of https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/03/WGI_TAR_full_report.pdf still has the almost identical quote without the word "exact" in it. I'm sure their tidy team of climate scientists will tighten that one up eventually and make it read as required.
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