1. They gain Hasluck - favoured to do so 2. They gain Corangamite - will be close - but they are closing in 3. The keep in front at Brisbane - likely, but could be lineball 4. They gain Lindsay, Greenway or Moreton
The ALP is in front by 1,100 votes in Lindsay - 83% counted...not a likely coalition win, but not impossible
The ALP is in front by 1,140 or so votes in Lindsay - 81% counted...again, not a likely coalition win, but not impossible
In Moreton, I think there could be a chance of this coming into play for the Coalition. The ALP recorded a swing of more than 12% against it, the Coalition picked up approx. 3% of that. The vote is 75% counted and the ALP is ahead by approx 1,300 votes. If postal votes favour the Coalition...this seat might be back in play too. ------------- All up I hope they can get to 75 seats. From what I have seen of Bob Katter and Rob Oakeshott, they would be unreliable and bombastic alliance partners. They represent a scary prospect for stability in any government formed.
If they get to 75 seats, the only sane one is Tony Windsor, and I suspect he would give the Coalition the 1 seat it would need to form a majority.
Yes, there are a few ifs & buts...but it's not altogether an impossibility.
