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26/09/15
21:02
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Originally posted by AverageJoe
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I think some folks are confusing between outcrop style open pit resource to UG mining. The days of shallow open mining is probably numbered so the much higher risk/cost UG is where most mining takes place hence the POG will determine who is still in the game. There is no shortage of gold, just shortage of easily mineable gold.
So far we have scarcity and gold bulls should be looking for booming economic activity with major trading zones as likely source of inflation hedging. Fear hedging is never sustainable, just a short term spike that usually peter away in a down trend.
If the goldbug logic looking for sell off in global stockmarkets to enhance the protection from gold, why is POG so tepid in reaction. Spare me the conspiracy because that is the easy excuse, like a blame game.
Opinions like Schiff constantly talking up QE4 and then expecting a gold rally should look back to QE3 and ask why there isn't a sustain gold rally? Is it because QE is not inflationary? What makes QE4 gold rally friendly? Personally I can't wait for Yellen to strike the rate rise while she is still able in the current window. ZIRP cannot go on continuously and cause an imbalance of money rushing for specific homes because the homes are very limited. This type of bubbles will cause more pain than solutions.
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Gold is a far better hedge against deflation. In an environment of collapsing asset prices and flattening bond yields it tends to retain its value to a greater extent.