FAR 0.00% 52.0¢ far limited

Hi Gibbo "French would be an asset" pretty well stamps it as...

  1. 2,978 Posts.
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    Hi Gibbo

    "French would be an asset" pretty well stamps it as being in Senegal. I think I'm right in saying we are furthest advanced of any Senegalese projects so my money is on it referring to us.

    pj, you just knew I would have a crack:

    > Three wells = one billion give or take 100m. I am very bullish on SNE, which I anticipate will blow people away, and believe Bellatrix will add a couple of hundred. (Be a big downer for Bellatrix to be dry in this climate.)

    > Six wells: A total guess given we don't know targets. Assume one exploration (one of the Pakistani openers?), a further appraisal/production well on SNE? and a test of goodness knows what play/s in the Fans? Again, I'm going big: I reckon we'll be over 1.5b by year's end ... assuming we're still around.

    That would give FAR 225m in a hopefully rising OP environment. At, what? $US7 pb = $US1.575 billion @ say 65 cents = $AUD2.4 billion. Divide by four billion shares = 0.60 cents. That does not account for further Fan upside (probably huge), unexplored shelf prospects (seismic due mid year), Djiffere, GB (reprocessed seismic), et al.

    I seriously think my $1.20 target is within reach, all going smoothly. Equally, I acknowledge I am probably the second-biggest optimist on here and that my guesses might be wildly inflated. I do know, though, that the JV has already significantly derisked our investment and that 7.7 cents is not even close to reflecting the value already created.

    Please don't tell Mrs OOO but I snaffled another - last and final - 200k shares on Friday. The SP may now assume a steady upward trajectory.

    OOO

    PS: Can't wait for Aqua's predictions! pj, this exercise is fun, if pointless.
    Last edited by Oddoneout: 16/01/16
 
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