ALK 4.00% 48.0¢ alkane resources limited

"Don't dwell on should haves in the past mate."Dont worry. Since...

  1. 1,239 Posts.
    "Don't dwell on should haves in the past mate."
    Dont worry. Since I'm only investing money I don't need for the next few years, I am perfectly happy seeing this as an opportunity to buy some more. I only wished some of my other plays spiked so that I could justify putting some real money into Alk despite it already being my biggest position ...

    "what made you buy into ALK at 30c?"
    This report: http://www.alkane.com.au/reports/broker-media/brokers/20100408.pdf
    Basically I was convinced by their conclusion. Also, gold covered imO most of the then current SP, with the DZP offering incredible upside if it were ever to come to fruition (including a possible later dividend at 0,30. Getting paid as a yearly dividend what I paid for my shares will be a first for me ...)

    BTW, there is a new report out, agreeing with me re: future earnings:

    http://www.alkane.com.au/reports/broker-media/brokers/20110928.pdf

    "Based on ‘conservative’ prices provided by Alkane, we forecast that the DZP should be able to generate c A$504m per annum (after ramp up in 2015) over its 20-year life of mine." [end of mine in 2033 (selected only for financial modelling and not due to a lack of ore)" p 5 - goes to show what financial models are worth ... ]

    A little optimistic imO their ideas re: dividends (esp. the 0,40 in 2015):
    "If Alkane executes its TGP and DZP projects by conventional debt funding routes and pays out all its spare cash in the form of dividends, we estimate that a hypothetical dividend stream to investors from 2013 to 2033 will be worth A$2.91 in current money terms (using a 10% discount rate to reflect general equity risk). This then rises to A$6.04 in 2019 in the year the maiden dividend is paid."
    IMO it seems likely that Alks managment will be more conservative than that during the ramp up - and after 2015 we will need some cash to develop all our other gold/copper projects, too ... But ,30 should be easily doable from 2015 on, and once the debt for DZP and Tomingley is paid back, 0,55 seems likely ... (500mio earnings : 300mio shares = 1,67 / share => 1/3 = 0,55)
 
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48.0¢
Change
-0.020(4.00%)
Mkt cap ! $289.6M
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50.0¢ 50.8¢ 47.5¢ $1.265M 2.583M

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No. Vol. Price($)
5 33546 47.5¢
 

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Price($) Vol. No.
48.0¢ 1321 1
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