FRS 8.57% 3.2¢ forrestania resources limited

look this is just a very simple comparison and plse tell me if i...

  1. 406 Posts.
    look this is just a very simple comparison and plse tell me if i havent made any errors:

    if we assume that FRS will roughly be a similar producer and have a similar resource to TTY (territory resources)

    then market cap comparison to TTY or TFE:

    FRS mkt cap is 71 mill

    TTY mkt cap is 200mill

    thus no.shares in FRS is roughly 75million shares * 0.95

    thus no.shares in TTY is roughly 155mill shares * 1.30

    Assume FRS by time of production has 125million shares

    thus 125million shares * what? = TTYs mkt cap of 200mill

    the answer is : 125million shares * $1.60 = 200mill mkt cap

    So until 2009 production over 2 years theres potential 60% return plus more upside???

    Am I right or wrong in this simple analogy???

    Without dilution of an extra 50million shares, FRS share price would have to be $2.60 to compare with tty.

    But there will be dilution no doubt ala TTY

    thus is there greater upside in other iron ore plays???

    Its already at $1.00, so maybe Ive missed the boat as other near term producers may offer better returns???

    Still 30% a yr or so aint bad if the share price gets to $1.60 to equate my diluted mkt cap with TTYs.

    please help

    TTY is slated to make 13cps I believe: 20millNPAT/150mill shares last I heard according to FAT PROPHETS from a few months back

    this couldve changed by now though.

    how much dilution do u guys expect on FRS???



 
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Last
3.2¢
Change
-0.003(8.57%)
Mkt cap ! $5.177M
Open High Low Value Volume
3.5¢ 3.5¢ 3.2¢ $5.476K 166.5K

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No. Vol. Price($)
1 300000 3.1¢
 

Sellers (Offers)

Price($) Vol. No.
3.5¢ 21000 1
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Last trade - 14.41pm 11/07/2024 (20 minute delay) ?
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