SHE 7.69% 1.2¢ stonehorse energy limited

.Thanks Rovic for the clarification..* That was CUE first...

  1. 1,347 Posts.
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    Thanks Rovic for the clarification.
    .
    * That was CUE first dividend, so it may continue to increase for some time.
    * 50% rise is large ,but a lot smaller than for other sectors when they pay the first dividend.
    .
    .
    CUE Metrics:
    CUE gross profit has grown from 10 million to near enough 30 million over the last 3 years.
    Gross margin was 56%,
    NPAT 29.5%,
    Profit before tax has been growing 19% a year.
    Profit before tax normalized before tax over enterprise value was a 59%.

    These are very good fundamentals, but i believe SHE will be stronger relative to market cap and even more so in a few years.

    SHE is still young
    SHE is a much smaller and younger company and a large dividend such as 20% this early might be considered as unsustainable or premature, but a dividend of say 3% to 5% wont harm their cash position whilst only consuming 6 weeks of current EBIT.
    .
    Personally i would rather wait until they had at least their 4 earned sections producing, when cash flow and cash reserves are stronger. Then any subsequent dividend issued would be perceived as more sustainable.

    I realize understandably that some holders might reasonable want to Cash out their investment at a reasonable price and a dividend will increase both liquidity and the share price allowing them to cash out.
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    .
    Future Market cap with 1 set of wells at P/E ratio of 4.5
    In 2.5 . years we are looking at 15 million cash+EBITDA of 5 miilion
    So theoretical market cap = 15+5*4.5 = 37.5 million market cap.
    .
    Future Market cap with 3 set of wells at P/E ratio of 4.5
    After 4 years , Cash= 58 million, and annual EBITDA is around 28 million
    So Market cap =58 million + 4.5 * 28 million= 184 million market cap.
    .

    Dividend strategy.
    A good dividend strategy would be
    1) Directors buy in once or twice
    2) Issue an announcement of a official sustainable dividend policy.
    3) Another buy in.
    4) Issue a series of dividends.
    .
    If they did they when the EBIT is high then we could be looking at massive re-rate of SHE.
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    ATP dividend came out of the blue but they were printing money relative to market but not as strongly as SHE currently is
    .
    GRR verbally indicated that they would pay dividends once cash reached a threshold value, and holders did lobby the B.O.D.
    .
    Thanks for your post Rovic comparing SHE to CUE as it should give encouragement to others.






    Last edited by Value4983843: 29/02/24
 
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