The daily reckoning seems to think mineral sands is going to be...

  1. 2,988 Posts.
    The daily reckoning seems to think mineral sands is going to be big in the near future - thinking that China will take to TiO2 based paints in the near future. I have insufficient knowledge of Chinese culture to know if this is really the case. I pressume it is reasonable that if more western style dwellings are going up and they are adopting an increased western lifestyle that this may be the case.

    Now - that out of the way, the issue is to pick the best bet.

    ILU - already a major producer - will benfit directly from increased prices. The issue will be whether this is fully reflected in the SP.

    IMA - massive resources though not yet producing. The apparent high SP (low number of shares ) often limits speculative upside as it already seems pricey even though MC is only about $100m. seems a very solid bet for at least a three-bagger medium term and maybe 10-bagger longer term on basis of mineral sands. Extra upside is possible from phosphate though may be spun out in IPO that will benefit directors more than shareholders.

    GUN - mineral sands in one massive resource in JV with Chinese. They are 20% holders though project is huge and likely to go ahead. I'm Not sure re: control of pricing - I assume they will be able to sell their 20% on free market. Also has fantastic Cu JV that will likely see potential PE of 1 at current prices. MC $17m so could easily be a 10-bagger on the basis of either project. More risk than ILU though.

    BMX - haven't looked in great deal at this - seems to be Near-term production with less blue-sky than the others.

    What are other's thoughts on this?
 
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