GLN 5.26% 30.0¢ galan lithium limited

Compelling opportunity, page-2315

  1. 34,304 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 8997
    HMW alone

    PEA:
    - Battery grade Lithium carbonate price at US$11,687/ton,
    - annual production 20,000 tons,
    - annual EBITDA is US$174m

    Upcoming DFS likely to be:
    - Battery grade lithium carbonate price US$15,000/ton
    - annual production 25,000 tons
    - annual EBITDA would be ~US$260m (A$340m)
    - life of mine 40 years
    - total EBITDA ~ A$13.6B
    - Post tax NPV @8% would be around A$2B

    DFS is scheduled to be completed around mid/late 2022.
    Valuation will be gradually increasing to around 30% to 70% of NPV (would be around $600m to $1.4B).
    GLN’s current enterprise value is ONLY $232m (~12% of estimated post-tax NPV).

    As comparison, GXY’s market cap $2B, majority of its valuation is attributable to Argentina brine deposit.
    LKE’s enterprise value $388m, 1.67 times of GLN’s.

    I’d say patience will be well rewarded over coming year.
    All imo.
 
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