XJO 0.74% 8,285.2 s&p/asx 200

XJO down modestly today -0.27%. [IMG] XJO continues in its...

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    XJO down modestly today -0.27%.



    XJO continues in its congestion zone.  If it closes three times below the mid-line of the short-term trend channel, I'll begin to think that our market is looking at fall.  At this stage it is below its mid-line on two occasions.

    Other indicators are bearish, so there is a high likelihood of a pull-back.

    Breadth today was inconclusive.  A/D Ratio 0.99. AdvancingVolume/DecliningVolume 1.04.  Those figures are essentially flat.

    Options traders saw dark clouds on the horizon and the VIX rose substantially.  But A.VIX RSI is now into overbought territory:



    XXJ (Financials) was down a little more than the broad market:



    But it remains in a congestion zone sitting just under the 200-Day EMA.  Which way this breaks from the congestion zone will be important for our market.

    I think we have to wait and see what tonight and tomorrow brings.

    RB.
 
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