See here for elaborate article from June last year when SP was at 76c http://www.seekingalpha.com/article/4082498
I extracted the conclusion:
European Metals is sitting on a massive lithium spodumene and tin-tungsten resource, the largest in Europe, and in the top 5 globally. Whilst the lithium grade is low, that is offset by excellent by-products, allowing the cost of production (net of by-product credits) forecast to be one of the lowest of any spodumene projects globally.
The current PFS result of a post-tax NPV8% of US$540m is average, and not yet that impressive, especially considering the high Capex of US$393m. This is mostly as it was based on a mere 9.9% of the resource. However, my view is that the resource will grow substantially (~50%) during the next year, and the company will increase the forecast lithium production for the DFS, resulting in a significantly larger NPV. This was done by Pilbara Minerals with their stage 1 (NPV 10% of AU$709m) and stage 2 DFS (NPV10 of AU$1,165m).
Valuation is attractive right now due to the disappointing PFS reaction, and because they are still at a relatively early stage. Given the low cost of production, huge lithium resource, the company should be able to progress with the next stages (DFS, permits, equity off-take partner). With each success, the stock price should steadily rise.
My current price target is AUD 2.86 for end 2019 (3.7 x gain), with upside if they expand their lithium production volumes as I expect. I rate them a strong speculative buy.
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See here for elaborate article from June last year when SP was...
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Last
15.5¢ |
Change
-0.005(3.13%) |
Mkt cap ! $32.15M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
16.0¢ | 16.0¢ | 15.5¢ | $6.438K | 40.47K |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
3 | 84000 | 15.5¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
16.0¢ | 39201 | 4 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
3 | 84000 | 0.155 |
3 | 124008 | 0.150 |
1 | 13717 | 0.145 |
6 | 57855 | 0.140 |
1 | 25000 | 0.135 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.160 | 39201 | 4 |
0.165 | 3650 | 1 |
0.175 | 21000 | 1 |
0.180 | 3168 | 1 |
0.200 | 40666 | 2 |
Last trade - 11.25am 17/07/2025 (20 minute delay) ? |
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