Dec 20 - Strong earnings, cash flows and credit improvements will continue for steel raw materials miners in 2012, according to Fitch Ratings in a new report. This despite a softer pricing environment compared to first half-2011. Worldwide steel production should grow 3-5% in 2012 with China accounting for nearly 50% of production. Fitch expects steel raw materials prices to be volatile and remain below 2011 peaks but above 2010 levels in 2012. Fitch expects prices to be above marginal costs, affording healthy margins even if the global economy returns to recession. Destocking, weather events and/or labor actions could disrupt shipments and affect prices, earnings and cash flow over the short term. Strong cash generation in 2010 and 2011 and resilient margin expectations have resulted in larger capital budgets and, in some cases, higher dividends and share repurchases. Fitch does not expect miners to stretch their capital structures or liquidity in 2012 given the eurozone financial crisis, a possible soft patch in the U.S. recovery and risks of a hard landing in China. Fitch anticipates that steel demand in developed nations will not reach full recovery until 2013 at the earliest.
The above should auger well for the Vale deal on T.N. Also, came across this this morning re Vale and iron ore shipping... RIO DE JANEIRO, Dec 20 (Reuters) - Brazilian iron ore miner Vale is not abandoning its shipping strategy after major investments it has made in building its super-carriers for ore, Jose Carlos Martins, the company's director of ferrous metals and strategy, said on Tuesday.
Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange rose to $7,470 a tonne, its best level since Nov. 14, and closed at $7,410 a tonne, up 2 percent from Monday's $7,260. These are not bad prices, we have just been spoilt seeing $10-12K in the last year.
Come on santa :)
AVB Price at posting:
9.3¢ Sentiment: Buy Disclosure: Held
