copper now $1.23c/lb($2,700+)/t, page-40

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    for periscopes and flats To go back to your two posts at the start of this thread.

    I did some qucik dcf calculations to see the theoretical effect of a one cent rise in the price of copper on AVL valuation.

    Over 5 year mine life:
    1 cent increase per pound Cu increase the value of AVL by a little more than 1.4 cents per share.

    Over 8 year mine life:
    1 cent increase per pound Cu increase the value of AVL by a little more than 1.8 cents per share.

    Conclusion:
    AVL is far more sensitive to increasing Cu than OXR.


    Assumptions:
    * discount rate 20% (nice rate if you can get it)
    * cash flows not recieved until the end of each year (very conservative I know)
    * exchange rate AUD/USD constant
    * price of Cu constant
    * shares on issue remain constant
    * constant production @ 20,000t Cu
 
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