Rallies On Technicals, Bullish OutlooksBy Andrew Johnson Jr...

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    Rallies On Technicals, Bullish Outlooks

    By Andrew Johnson Jr
    Tuesday 13 February 2007

    CHICAGO (Dow Jones)--Chicago Board of Trade corn futures ended higher
    Tuesday, rallying on technically inspired buying and long range bullish demand
    prospects, analysts said.

    March corn ended 6 1/4 cents higher at $4.11 per bushel, and December
    finished 4 1/2 cents higher at $4.03.

    The nearby March future climbed near a one-month high, fueled by technical
    momentum and spillover support from outside markets, analysts said. The new
    crop December future rallied to a new contract high amid the need for the
    market to produce prices that will secure adequate acreage in 2007, analysts
    added.

    The supportive theme was consistent from the outset, with the absence of
    aggressive selling pressure and the ability of futures to breach resistance at
    previous highs uncovering pre-placed buy orders to lift prices higher, traders
    said.

    Expectations of bullish long range projections when the U.S. Department of
    Agriculture releases its 10-year baseline projections Wednesday helped provide
    light support as well, a CBOT floor analyst said. The baseline projections are
    not anything concrete to hang you hat on, but they will give a glimpse at what
    the USDA is looking at in regards to long term ethanol demand, he added.

    Nevertheless, technical activity was the dominant feature of the day in a
    light volume rally, with a jump in crude oil and metals prices aiding the
    higher theme.

    Meanwhile, the DTN Meteorlogix Weather forecast said winter storm conditions
    are bearing down on transportation systems across the Midwest, and the largest
    affected area encompasses Illinois, Indiana, and Ohio. The forecast calls for
    snowfall of from three to six inches in this corridor of the eastern Midwest
    into Wednesday. Transportation delays will be extensive, and the
    already-snarled barge traffic pattern on the Illinois River will have further
    delays. Farther west and north, snow and cold conditions will hinder livestock
    transportation in the remainder of the Midwest during this midweek time frame.

    In South America, Argentina's central crop belt has mostly dry weather in
    store until late this week. Friday through Sunday will see a strong chance of
    widespread thunderstorms, producing more than one inch of rain. This oncoming
    round of rainfall will further benefit corn in the filling stage, Meteorlogix
    reports.

    In pit trades, Tenco and Fimat each bought 400 March, Goldenberg Hehmeyer
    bought 500 March, RJ O'Brien bought 400 December, Calyon Financial and Rand
    Financial each bought 300 March, with Rosenthal buying 300 December.
    Speculative fund buying in estimated at 4,000 contracts.

    JP Morgan sold 900 July and 400 December, Tenco sold 500 March, Fimat sold
    1,000 March, and Rand Financial sold 400 May.

    Day session volume on the e-CBOT platform was 136,202 contracts.

    CBOT oat futures ended lower, with old/new crop spreading remaining a
    feature. Traders said commission house or fund liquidation continued to plague
    the nearby March future, while the new crop December contract received support
    from speculative buying. March oats closed 3 1/4 cents lower at $2.42 per
    bushel and December ended 1 1/4-cent lower at $2.51 3/4.

    Ethanol futures ended higher, with the March contract settling 0.020 higher
    at $2.045, and the April contract settling 0.010 higher at $2.000.
 
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