Australia's largest stock trading and investment forum Australia's #1 stock forum

you can multiply China’s death rate by 20.the crematoriums have...

First 4819 Last

Share
Profile

Follow
myASX

6,926 Posts.

515

18/03/20

13:55

Post #: 43560227
Share

Originally posted by captainblood: ↑

the thing I can't get my head around is that there is a prediction of 50k-150k of deaths from covid19 in Australia as a worse case scenario.

so saying we have a population of 25m people and taking 125k as the death rate that would be 0.5% of the population.

then if I take that figure and add it to China's population of 1.3b, that would be a suspected death rate of 6.5million people . so China has had the disease for close to 3months and what is the death rate so far, 3-4k. I know it is only the start and China's quarantine measures are probably better than any other country could achieve, but even in quarantine there has to be a certain amount of movement and activity around the country to be able to feed that sort of population.

so, I'm no expert and certainly not trying to downplay how bad the situation is but the above, are just some figures that just don't add up to me.

Expand

you can multiply China’s death rate by 20.
the crematoriums have been working 24/7 and they had to bring in 40 portable ovens too for some unknown reason.
1 Upvote

Reply

Top Stories

ACW

Actinogen Medical ramps up Alzheimer’s treatment trials, targeting fast-track global approvals

RCE

Recce eyes Indonesia for novel anti-infective as Indo-Aus ties grow stronger

COD

Coda Minerals (ASX:COD) enters rights issue to further exploration in South Australia

CKA

Cokal upgrades infrastructure for BBM ramp-up in Indonesia

NTI

Neurotech knocked back by FDA as agency declares target condition not rare enough for special status

WCN

White Cliff jumps 24% on 'bonanza grade' copper rock chips at Rae project, Canada

SLS

Solstice Minerals to ramp up drilling campaign at Yarri Gold Project

BUX

Buxton projects new graphite province discovery at WA Narryer play

Week 40 Wrap: China's nonsensical stimmy hype wanes (shocking!); HotCopper's picks; oil & inflation

BCI

BCI reaches close of funding facility for salt-first part of Mardie project

There are more pages in this discussion • 2,809 more messages in this thread...

First 4819 Last